Estimating Pedestrian Flows Using Route Distributions and Sparse Counting Data

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17815/CD.2024.149

Keywords:

Crowd management, Count study, Online Survey, Pedestrians, Traffic

Abstract

At metro station Münchner Freiheit in Munich soccer fans cause congestion before and after soccer matches on the shortest route to get from a bus station to the metro. Yet, an online survey suggests that, given the right information and incentive through a mobile app, fans are willing to take a detour. In this study we combine the survey results with passenger counts collected in a field study to quantitatively estimate the number of rerouted pedestrians in dependency of influx from a side entrance for which there is no data. We find a realistic range for the change in flow, despite incomplete measurement data, that we use as input for predictive simulations. The quantitative results are also helpful for traffic management.

References

Mayr, C.M., Köster, G.: Guiding crowds when facing limited compliance: Simulating strategies. PLOS ONE 17(11), 1-24 (2022). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0276229

Mayr, C.M., Templeton, A., Köster, G.: Designing mobile application messages to impact route choice: A survey and simulation study. PLOS ONE 18(4), 1-20 (2023). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0284540

Feliciani, C., Murakami, H., Shimura, K., Nishinari, K.: Efficiently informing crowds - experiments and simulations on route choice and decision making in pedestrian crowds with wheelchair users. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 114, 484-503 (2020). doi:10.1016/j.trc.2020.02.019

Beale, L., Field, K., Briggs, D., Picton, P., Matthews, H.: Mapping for wheelchair users: Route navigation in urban spaces. Cartographic Journal 43, 68-81 (2006). doi:10.1179/000870406X93517

Neis, P.: Measuring the reliability of wheelchair user route planning based on volunteered geographic information. Transactions in GIS 19(2), 188-201 (2015). doi:10.1111/tgis.12087

Bertel, S., Dressel, T., Kohlberg, T., Jan, V.: Spatial knowledge acquired from pedestrian urban navigation systems. In: MobileHCI 2017, Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Human-Computer Interaction with Mobile Devices and Services, pp. 1-6 (2017). doi:10.1145/3098279.3098543

Carter, H., Drury, J., Amlôt, R., Rubin, G.J., Williams, R.: Effective responder communication improves efficiency and psychological outcomes in a mass decontamination field experiment: Implications for public behaviour in the event of a chemical incident. PLoS ONE 9(3), e89846 (2014). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0089846

Carter, H., Amlôt, R., Williams, R., Rubin, G.J., Drury, J.: Mass casualty decontamination in a chemical or radiological/nuclear incident: Further guiding principles 2016. PLoS Currents (2016). doi:10.1371/currents.dis.569a83b893759346e511a070cb900d52.

Reicher, S., Spears, R., Haslam, S.A.: The social identity approach in social psychology. In: The SAGE Handbook of Identities, pp. 45-63 (2010). doi:10.4135/9781446200889

Levine, M., Prosser, A., Evans, D., Reicher, S.: Identity and emergency intervention: how social group membership and inclusiveness of group boundaries shape helping behavior. Personality and social psychology bulletin 31(4), 443-453 (2005). doi:10.1177/0146167204271651

Cover image

Downloads

Published

27.05.2024

How to Cite

Mayr, C. M., & Köster, G. (2024). Estimating Pedestrian Flows Using Route Distributions and Sparse Counting Data. Collective Dynamics, 9, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.17815/CD.2024.149

Issue

Section

Special Issue of Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2023